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A Requiem for a Career (Part 2)

16 Saturday Nov 2024

Posted by Bill Rider in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

history, memories, nuclear-weapons, seminars, the-alamo

tl;dr

I’m getting close to the decision to retire. I’m looking back at my career, trying to put things in perspective. By most accounts, it has been a great career, but it is also short of what it could have been. I’m going to express some genuine disappointment. I’ve seen a lot and accomplished some great things. I’ve talked about my young life, and now I get to my professional career. My years in Los Alamos were the apex of my career. Those years made me who I am as a scientist. I could have done so much more, too, but bad decisions and bad people cost me a lot.

“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.” ― Seneca

My Early Years at Los Alamos

I arrived in Los Alamos on June 19, 1989, to start work. I got a job in a group that did nuclear reactor safety analysis. They had lots of new money to support the “new production reactor” replacing old Cold War infrastructure. I was beside myself with joy in getting such a great job. I did not realize how fortunate I was. I put in my paperwork for a clearance and started to set up a fully adult life. We rented a place on North Mesa in Los Alamos and my wife started taking classes at the local university extension. For my own part, I took exactly one semester away from school. In the Spring semester, I would return to my pursuit of a PhD. This got to the nature of Los Alamos at that time. The Lab was expansively generous with knowledge and the pursuit of education. My classes were covered by work, and my coworkers were open and generous with their knowledge. I also made a bunch of friends in those years that I keep today. 

Little did I know that the world would change dramatically before the end of the year. In November 1989, I walked in from a day at work to something that hit me like a freight train. I walked into the house with my cool Los Alamos work briefcase full of papers to read at night. What I saw caused me to promptly drop it at my feet. I stared at the TV, mouth agape, at people dancing on top of the Berlin Wall. I knew at that moment that everything was going to change, the Cold War was over.

Everything changed over the next few years with how the Lab worked. Change was already taking place with the elements of decline in place since Reagan was elected in 1980. The end of the Cold War just accelerated the process tremendously. Meanwhile, I was focused on finishing my PhD work. I got through with classes and focused on my thesis. As part of this, I wrote a series of papers. The focus was my choice. I had fallen in love with hyperbolic conservation laws and their numerical solution. At Los Alamos, I could dig in and devour the literature. At first, I focused on flux-corrected transport (FCT). Over time, these methods lost appeal because of their lack of mathematical rigor. I was drawn to total variation diminishing (TVD) methods. These methods had a strong mathematical foundation and were a springboard to rigor. 

One of my papers tried to draw the linkages between these two families of methods. It was the first paper I wrote in this area. This paper got lost in the review. I had unwittingly stepped in the middle of a little holy war between these camps. At first, I got a review from Ami Harten who said “This is great, publish immediately.” I was over the moon. My second review was from Steve Zalesak who savaged the paper. It was as deflating as Harten’s review was a boost. The paper then slipped into limbo, and five years later I allowed it to be buried. I had moved on. It was a deeply painful lesson about the personal politics of research. It was good work and the analysis was solid. The problem is that it identified the mathematical weaknesses of FCT. This didn’t mean FCT was a bad method, but it did say it had some weaknesses. TVD has other weaknesses like it is too dissipative. The camps were unable to navigate the space between themselves rationally and I was a casualty.

Another highlight of working at Los Alamos is meeting my heroes. While I was at the University of New Mexico, I started to read the works of Frank Harlow. It was the start of my love of numerical methods. At Los Alamos, I met Frank and eventually came to count him as a treasured colleague and friend. I also met a couple of Nobel Prize winners (Bethe and Gell-Mann), and other heroes. The most notable of these heroes is Peter Lax. As I got into modern numerical methods, Peter’s work loomed ever greater. Eventually, Peter visited Los Alamos to help celebrate Burt Wendroff’s 70th birthday. I was able to give a talk to an audience of greats including Peter. This was a real career highlight. 

(https://williamjrider.wordpress.com/2015/06/25/peter-laxs-philosophy-about-mathematics/) 

Finally, in early 1992, I finished my PhD. The godfather of the Los Alamos reactor safety code, Dennis Liles, was my advisor. I had been working on nuclear reactor safety, including developing advanced numerical methods for tracking materials. There, I was able to hone my craft, but it was also severely limited. I needed to move to the core of the Lab from the periphery. The core of Los Alamos is nuclear weapons work, which is done with supercomputers. A job ad in the Lab Newspaper featured my opportunity. My boss knew I needed a new start, and showed me the ad. I made the move. I was ready for new challenges, and they were coming. 

Opportunity Knocks

I didn’t make this change without some groundwork. As part of a hair-brained scheme for transforming nuclear waste, I started to study the tracking of interfaces. When solving such problems at Los Alamos, Frank Harlow’s group T-3 is the place to do it. A young staff member, Doug Kothe, was leading the way in this topic. I met Doug to talk about it. As was the nature at Los Alamos in those days, Doug was generous with his time and expertise. This generosity was everywhere in Los Alamos and I could pick the brain of experts all over. The meeting with Doug was the beginning of an incredible collaboration. He and I did some seminal work on volume-tracking methods. It is notable that volume tracking is an essential algorithm in many Los Alamos codes. The paper Doug and I wrote is still my most highly cited work. Moreover, the work we did is still used by the top computer code in Los Alamos to do essential work on our nuclear stockpile. 

I also got a huge break in my new group, C-3. I could foster my collaboration with Doug and start working with some other big names on a national project. I started to work on a project for numerical combustion modeling with John Bell (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories, LLNL, those days) and Phil Colella (UC Berkeley). This would be a crash course in all sorts of numerical methods. I would learn compressible flow ala Colella, and incompressible flow ala Bell. I would also learn numerical linear algebra and high-performance computing. The things I learned on this project would change the direction of my career. I did a study of the broad class of incompressible flow solvers that would have likely been capable of being a second PhD thesis. It was an incredible opportunity. 

Of course, all of this happened while the Cold War ended and the world changed. But I was sheltered from the fallout. The changes elsewhere in Los Alamos were massive. Nuclear weapons testing had ended, and the Lab’s budget was in freefall. Something new was brewing, the Stockpile Stewardship program, and the idea of simulating weapons on supercomputers was the alternative. I was involved with planning and scoping this program at the outset. Little did I know that this program would fund me for the rest of my career. I also made a move to a new group in the famous (or infamous) X-Division, the Applied Theoretical Physics Division, the belly of the beast. I was going to work in the heart of the nuclear weapons program in the hydrodynamics group. In the meantime, I had bought a house in White Rock (Los Alamos “suburb”), and my first son Kenneth had been born. My wife had finished her bachelor’s degree in business at UNM, too. Los Alamos by in large is a great place to raise kids and a blast from the past in terms of lifestyle.

How did I end up in X-Division? 

In the basement in the computing division was Bo’s gym. I would go there during the workday and work out. I would spend a long time on a Stairmaster machine and read technical papers constantly. They would be covered in sweat, and I would pitch them off the machine. This guy would come over and see what I was reading. He took an interest, and it seemed we were interested in the same things. His name was Len Margolin, and he was the group leader for the Hydrodynamics group. Len and I would also form a collaboration that lasted for more than a decade and has echoes today. He was a great boss and is a good friend.

“No matter how bad things are, you can always make things worse.” ― Randy Pausch

The Belly of the Beast

In 1996 I made the move to Len’s group. There was a new program called the Advanced Scientific Computing Initiative (ASCI) that revitalized work in Los Alamos (LLNL and Sandia too). Vistas were opening and work was exciting. The power of possibility was in the air. I got an office in Los Alamos’ old administration building, a bit of a cinderblock shithole that I still have vivid dreams about. I was in Room 247B and next door in 247C was Wen Ho Lee (more on him later). I went about learning as much as I could about how X-Division did its work and how I could contribute. Len gave me a broad aegis to study numerical methods. I did lots of really great things like writing my own Von Neumann-Richtmyer Lagrangian code. I have little interest in such methods, but I found this exercise to be extremely useful. It was part of a heady time of possibility where the future seemed to be created in plain sight. 

As part of the growth in ASCI Len hired some heavy hitters from other Labs. One was my old friend from graduate school, Dana Knoll, and his colleague, Vince Mousseau. We began a collaboration on using the multigrid knowledge I had now with Newton-Krylov methods. We were applying it to radiation transport, which is a major focus of X-Division. We did some really great research and wrote lots of highly cited papers. 

During this period of time, I had a particular personal moment that stuck out. In all honesty, my early time at Los Alamos was rife with imposter syndrome. Given my history and the talent I was working with, I felt like I was over my head. This was especially true after receiving my PhD, and I started working more closely with the elite. They were accomplished and brilliant. I also had this strong personal sense of responsibility as a breadwinner for my family. Having a second child, Jackson, only compounded this feeling. So I was working very hard and putting in lots of hours. 

The issue was that my wife needed more from me in terms of domestic support. This sense of duty was a consequence of the values and priorities of a man as I was raised. These were also horribly antiquated views. Finally, this all came to a head. I had to choose, and the result was a terrifying series of panic attacks, the resolution of which left me with the need to rebalance my life. I needed to be more of a parent and less of an over-achiever. 

I also started to work with Jim Kamm at that time. Jim and I worked incredibly well together with our strengths complimenting each other phenomenally. I would work with Jim continuously for nearly 20 years until he disappeared in 2017. Jim also marked my entry into the verification and validation (V&V) program, which has been a focus since 1998. A big part of that program is Tim Trucano, who might rightly be called the father of it. He and I met in Washington, DC in January 1999 at a Blue Ribbon Panel review of ASCI. I gave the briefing on Hydrodynamics, and Tim on V&V. It was a huge shift in the ASCI program, and I was part of it. Tim is now a dear friend.

The “Troubles”

As things moved forward, the year 1999 marked a major change in the Lab’s fortunes. It was the beginning of a series of scandals that destroyed the Lab’s reputation. In late November, my wife and I were going to a dinner party, and on the way, we listened to the news that talked about potential spying at Los Alamos. It mentioned the suspect was a Chinese-American scientist. I quipped to her that there was a guy at work who seemed suspicious if I had to guess. I was thinking of Wen Ho Lee. Two weeks later, he was arrested. It was announced by Peter Jennings on the Nightly National News. It felt like a gunshot. I was stunned. The lead story in the country was all about someone I knew well and worked with. Nothing would ever be the same again at Los Alamos. The havoc this wrought was pure destruction. 

My own connection to these events is oddly coincidental. The father of my best friend from high school presided over Wen Ho’s first bail hearing. He was denied bail there, a decision that was repeated during time before his trial. He was held in bad conditions as well. Surely a small, slight Chinese man charged with treason would have been killed in short order in the general prison population. There are lots of criminals who consider themselves patriots. Back at work, things just spiraled into the bizarre as my highly classified workplace came under endless scrutiny and attention. Some of that attention would be public through coverage by the media, and other attention through legal proceedings. 

The case against Lee was shaped by politics rather than common sense. The case was also driven by the same toxic politics that have exploded over the past 20 years. In the world of stockpile stewardship, the computer codes he downloaded were the focus of the investigation. This focus was driven by the computer code focus of stockpile stewardship and the ASC program. It is arguable—and I think correctly so—that this was the weakest case against him. Events would seem to have validated my view. Along the way, I was amongst the people interviewed by the FBI about the case. My work and Wen Ho’s were close enough that entanglements were certain. People I knew would be talked about in court and testify as well. The overall feeling was surreal.

As time went by, the trial was looming in the future. Events would intercede to take things to another level. In May 2000, the forest service started a controlled burn in Bandelier National Monument. It quickly turned into an uncontrolled massive forest fire. The fire streamed North fueled by a drought-ravaged forest and springtime winds. Eventually, it threatened the city of Los Alamos and the Lab. We were all evacuated from town and the fire became an inferno. Again, Los Alamos was atop the national news. Meanwhile, something else was brewing at the Lab, triggered by the fire. Some highly classified hard discs had gone missing. Someone went to secure them from the potential fire, and they were gone. Again, this event happened in a place I knew and had been in. People I knew well were at the core of it.

The Lab looked in vain for the hard discs for a month. Right before the time expired, we had a meeting of X-Division. We were implored to tell them if we knew about this thing they were missing. They couldn’t tell us what it was that was missing due to security rules. It was more surreal. The capper to the meeting was its closing. Our Associate Director, Stephen Younger, closed it by threatening everyone. He said, “If you know something speak up, remember what happened to the Rosenburgs.” No one did. This time the FBI came in force. Agents were everywhere.

The hard discs would be found eventually a few doors down from where they were lost, behind a photocopier by a weapons’ designer. Before that, something even bigger happened. The FBI mistreated one of the people responsible for the hard discs (although unlikely to be responsible for them being missing). This enraged the Los Alamos coworkers. It ended up with a cooling-off period after one of the weapons designers gave the FBI agents a Nazi salute. The saluted agent happened to be Jewish. So the shit hit the fan. The abused staff member was also friends with the star witness in the Wen Ho Lee case. So he ended up not favorably disposed toward the government and its case. He testified in the case, and it did not go well for the prosecution. Soon, the case against Wen Ho was dropped. Nonetheless, the damage was done. Worse yet, more damage was coming.

The awful events were not over yet by a long shot. It was late 2003. I personally was doing some soul- and job-searching. I had a couple of things I was trying. I had applied for and interviewed for a job at Lawrence Livermore, and they offered me the job, but the pay offer was crappy. My wife didn’t have a job out there, either. Real estate in the East Bay was insanely high (and still is). I also applied for a management job at Los Alamos. I remember not getting the management job, and in the meeting telling me this, being told “You are too decisive,” whatever that means. When the meeting ended, my Division Leader was called away by something happening that was both troubling and familiar. More classified hard discs were missing. Los Alamos also had a new lab director, Pete Nanos, a former vice admiral in the navy. More importantly, Pete was a fucking asshole.

The missing hard discs were bad enough, but then another thing went wrong. In a lab, a young student intern was hurt. She was observing the alignment of a laser, and it shined directly into her eye. Nanos lost his shit and shut the lab down. There was to be no work, and we all needed to be punished. He also insulted the staff calling them “Cowboys and Buttheads.” He dressed down people in public. All of this is a failure to do anything to help matters. (As I look back, the style was reminiscent of our current President-elect.) Nanos was a master of demotivation. He was easily the worst Director Los Alamos ever had. He left nothing but destruction in his wake.

Personally, I was in a weird place. I had spent the previous week at a conference in Toronto. I had decided that I could not take the Livermore job. It was too risky, and we would have to sacrifice too much. We would have also gotten stuck in financial and real estate collapse (although I still did, just not catastrophically). I would stick with the job at Los Alamos, even with the Lab shutdown. I was headed to Cambridge for another conference the next week. On my way home to do laundry and pack for the trip, I received three calls from management telling me I could not go. I spent the weekend getting permission to e-mail my talk to a Livermore colleague to present the talk for me. This was how ridiculous the whole situation was. 

I went to work Monday and accepted a position as a temporary deputy group leader. My friend, John, the group leader, was in Scotland, out of contact on vacation (he got that job over me). The week spiraled out of control. Our permanent deputy group leader retired on the spot midweek as the environment of fear was overwhelming. So, by the end of the week, I was the group leader, albeit for a short time. This period produced resistance at the Lab amongst the staff as Nanos burned all the bridges. He was despised by all. He offered no respect and received none in return. For example, he committed a security violation by speaking openly about an active investigation. The authorities let him off the hook by declassifying it. Nanos deserved no respect (feels similar to someone else, doesn’t it?). 

Eventually, Nanos departed as an utter failure. He was replaced, but the damage was almost immeasurable to the Lab. During this time, the University of California was replaced as management. Too much damage had been done to the Lab’s reputation. Gone was the generous culture I prized and gone was the public trust. Management was replaced by a multi-headed hydra of corporate overseers. Amongst them is the endlessly awful, incompetent, and corrupt Bechtel who used Los Alamos to dump its corporate toxic waste. UC still had a role and Livermore managers came in as directors. They were very good and ultimately fought endlessly with the idiots from Bechtel. 

I’ll relay one more story of scandal to close out the lunacy of the time. One of the small problems involved a menial worker who was scanning old documents into an electronic form. The work was classified, and she fell behind, so she took it home. She was kind-hearted and let a meth-head sleep on her couch. He boosted the USB drive and sold it. In the final analysis, I knew the meth head. He was the brother of my son’s teammate on the local soccer team. Small towns make for weird connections!
The thing that stands out about all this was how close all these troubles were to my life. I always knew someone at the center of them. It was part of being in a small town and being close to the center of the Lab’s core mission.

“You gain strength, courage and confidence by every experience in which you really stop to look fear in the face. You are able to say to yourself, ‘I have lived through this horror. I can take the next thing that comes along.’ You must do the thing you think you cannot do.” ― Eleanor Roosevelt

I would be remiss in not talking about my technical work at this time. One of the best and most successful projects I’ve ever worked on happened amid all this chaos. Together with Len Margolin, we studied at topic known as “implicit subgrid modeling” under the auspices of laboratory-directed research and development (LDRD). The output from this project was incredible, including a book and a bevy of highly cited papers. It is a continuing source of great pride for me. It serves as a sterling example of what is possible with the right environment and a generous culture.

It also is a project that highlights what is (or was) great about Los Alamos. This modeling applies to turbulence, and turbulence was a topic that used to scare the shit out of me. The combination of intellectual generosity and mission-focused motivation. Back in late 1997 during the holiday break, I decided that I needed to learn about turbulence. I started off by reading a whole slew of books and papers. The key was that I also could tap the experience and knowledge of experts at the Lab. I could be exposed to the brilliance of some of the greatest minds on the subject. I could grow into the topic and gain the confidence needed to contribute to progress. It is this spirit that the “troubles” destroyed. The damage was to the Lab, the nation and the world, and to scientific progress.

In this same time period I also had the opportunity to write my first book. I was approached by an acquaintance, Dimitris Drikakis from the UK. He was part of a contract with Springer-Verlag for a book. It was a follow-on to an immensely successful book by Toro. It turned out that Toro had run into some significant personal problems, and had to drop out. Dimitris approached me and I accepted. I had a large body of work in the focal area for the book, low-speed and incompressible flows. He and I worked on the book including a week where I hosted Dimitris. I had the lab’s support and resources. I will say that the support from Springer-Verlag left much to be desired. This later came into real contrast with the incredibly good experience with Cambridge University Press. Still I had written and published my first book.

I took a management job for a year there working for Paul Hommert. Paul was a great manager (although at Sandia, I would learn all about his shortcomings). It was a great experience, but largely told me that managing was not how I wanted to spend my life. There was a moment I’ll always remember. One of my peers, Bob Little told me about handing Wen Ho Lee his at risk for RIF notice. He wondered what that would mean for how this played out. We would not name people at risk for RIF. I would still tell my staff member of his danger so he could get his work and personal life together in time to matter. 

It was at this time that I explored working at Sandia. I met with Tim Trucano and Randy Summers at a classified conference in 2006. They wanted to offer me a job and I wanted out of the nuthouse.

Next, I will discuss my move to Sandia National Labs in February 2007.

“Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.” ― Oscar Wilde

References

Rider, William J., and Douglas B. Kothe. “Reconstructing volume tracking.” Journal of computational physics 141, no. 2 (1998): 112-152.

Rider, William, and Douglas Kothe. “Stretching and tearing interface tracking methods.” In 12th computational fluid dynamics conference, p. 1717. 1995.

Grinstein, Fernando F., Len G. Margolin, and William J. Rider, eds. Implicit large eddy simulation. Vol. 10. Cambridge: Cambridge university press, 2007.

Drikakis, Dimitris, and William Rider. High-resolution methods for incompressible and low-speed flows. Springer Science & Business Media, 2005.

Puckett, Elbridge Gerry, Ann S. Almgren, John B. Bell, Daniel L. Marcus, and William J. Rider. “A high-order projection method for tracking fluid interfaces in variable density incompressible flows.” Journal of computational physics 130, no. 2 (1997): 269-282.

Margolin, Len G., and William J. Rider. “A rationale for implicit turbulence modelling.” International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids 39, no. 9 (2002): 821-841.

Margolin, Len G., William J. Rider, and Fernando F. Grinstein. “Modeling turbulent flow with implicit LES.” Journal of Turbulence 7 (2006): N15.

Rider, William J. “Revisiting wall heating.” Journal of Computational Physics 162, no. 2 (2000): 395-410.

Rider, William J., Jeffrey A. Greenough, and James R. Kamm. “Accurate monotonicity-and extrema-preserving methods through adaptive nonlinear hybridizations.” Journal of Computational Physics 225, no. 2 (2007): 1827-1848.

Greenough, J. A., and W. J. Rider. “A quantitative comparison of numerical methods for the compressible Euler equations: fifth-order WENO and piecewise-linear Godunov.” Journal of Computational Physics 196, no. 1 (2004): 259-281.

Kamm, James R., Jerry S. Brock, Scott T. Brandon, David L. Cotrell, Bryan Johnson, Patrick Knupp, William J. Rider, Timothy G. Trucano, and V. Gregory Weirs. Enhanced verification test suite for physics simulation codes. No. LA-14379. Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States), 2008.

Rider, William J., and Len G. Margolin. “Simple modifications of monotonicity-preserving limiter.” Journal of Computational Physics 174, no. 1 (2001): 473-488.

Mousseau, V. A., D. A. Knoll, and W. J. Rider. “Physics-based preconditioning and the Newton–Krylov method for non-equilibrium radiation diffusion.” Journal of computational physics 160, no. 2 (2000): 743-765.

Knoll, Dana A., and William J. Rider. “A Multigrid Preconditioned Newton–Krylov Method.” SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing 21, no. 2 (1999): 691-710.

Knoll, D. A., W. J. Rider, and G. L. Olson. “Nonlinear convergence, accuracy, and time step control in nonequilibrium radiation diffusion.” Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer 70, no. 1 (2001): 25-36.

A Requiem for a Career (Part 1)

02 Saturday Nov 2024

Posted by Bill Rider in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

history, news, nuclear-war, nuclear-weapons, oppenheimer

tl;dr

I’m getting close to the decision to retire. I’m looking back at my career trying to put things in perspective. By most accounts it has been a great career, but it is also short of what it could have been. I’m going to express some genuine disappointment. I’ve seen a lot and accomplished some great things. I could have done so much more too, but bad decisions and people cost me a lot.

How it Started?

Maybe this is indulgent? Maybe this is a really bad idea? but fuck it, I’m going to do this. This is sort of a rough draft of an obituary too. Writing your own obituary is supposed to be good for your perspective. Perhaps that argues for doing this after all.

My Origin

I am an Army brat. My dad was an officer in the US Army, field artillery. A lot of his focus was on missiles, nuclear tipped ones. As will become infinitely clear my life was shaped by nuclear weapons. I was born in September 1963 right before Kennedy was assassinated. If you do the gestational math I was conceived in November 1962 right after the Cuban Missle Crisis. This is not a random happenstance. I was an actual Cuban Missile Crisis baby. My dad deployed as part of 1st Armored Division to Mississippi waiting to invade Cuba. He makes light of it now, but this is very close to a near death experience. He was a forward artillery observer, parashooting in, a very low life expectency pursuit. After the crisis ended it was time to create a family. Me.

Los Alamos Main Gate (Photo by © CORBIS/Corbis via Getty Images)

The theme of nuclear weapons comes up over and over in my life. This is especially true being in New Mexico. My grandfather planned the invasion of Japan in WW2 for the US Army. He was also part of the occupation force after the war. The invasion was unnecessary because the first atomic weapons hastened the end of the war. My wife’s father came to New Mexico after being drafted to work at Los Alamos in 1946. Then it was still a secret city. Thus he reported to PO Box 1663 like those who were part of the Manhattan Project. He worked on nukes as part of the military for most of the rest of his life. I eventually worked at Los Alamos and then Sandia on nukes as well. My life has been intimately shaped by nukes and the Cold War. The end of the Cold War also created some immense challenges that still play out today.

By the time I was born my dad was in Greece, Macedonia. He was with a nuclear armed 8 inch howitzer battery with the M33 warhead (as I later discovered). Nine months later I was in Germany in the alps at a town called Oberammergau. I spent three years there. He was off to Vietnam after that and I went to my parent’s home town of Spokane with my mom who was pregnant with my brother. After my father returned we went to Texas for a few months that were not memorable. Then for the entirety of my elementary school years I lived in Lawton Oklahoma. My dad was at Fort Sill, the field artillery school for the Army. I’ve noted it was an ideal place to be that age.I had the immense freedom of a kid in the 1970’s. I played expansively with some great friends, Claude and Pat. The creek in our neighborhood the focus on incredible fun. The same town would have been hideous as a teen. I visited recently to see where I’d lived almost 50 years ago. It was surreal, and I was overly generous about what my teen years would have been there.

After this I moved to Germany for my early adolesence. I had always been young for my school year, so my parents held me back a year (good practice for young men). I redid my sixth grade year and after that I was old for my year. For two years I lived in Achaffenburg (1975-1977). I played football and got my big growth spurt the summer before seventh grade. My dad was the XO of a Lance missle battalion (more nukes). We moved to Stuttgart where my dad worked for the Seventh Corp headquarters. A fun fact is that my dad worked for George S. Patton III (son of the famous one). I went to school with George S. Patton IV. I went to the eighth and ninth grades there. I really started my love of science there with an infatuation with nuclear rockets to Mars. Los Alamos developed those rockets before the program was cancelled in 1974.

New Mexico

In 1979 we moved back to the states to Albuquerque. My dad had extended the stay in Germany to allow this. He was an avid tennis player, and didn’t like shoveling snow as he did growing up in Spokane. I was a sophomore in high school and went to Eldorado high school. A highlight of high school was being a state champion in football. While I contributed having a future NFL starting quarterback (Jim Everett) makes a difference for a team. I also wrestled with modest success (2nd in the city as a Senior). After high school I entered the University of New Mexico studying nuclear engineering. My undergrad days were unremarkable with mediocre grades. I was also married and working full time for the bulk of those years, so my plate was full. I met my wife Felicia two weeks after high school graduation. We were working at McDonalds.

So having mediocre grades and BS in Nuclear Engineering meant no jobs were coming my way. I did the second best thing entering graduate school at UNM (cause who else was taking my mediocre ass!). I went to grad school and continued my track record of mediocrity. At the end of this year I had a moment that stands out as one of three huge crises in my life. The moment was my final in an incompressible fluid dynamics class. My grade sucked. I looked around and realized I was not applying myself. I was letting myself down. I’d also dropped a class on computational physics taught by Jerry Brackbill from Los Alamos too. These classes defined topics I was passionate about, but I couldn’t succeed at them.

During these undergrad years a couple things defined me beyond school. Number one of these things was my romance with Felicia. We met and dated briefly before my Freshman year. We quit dating, but our friendship blossomed. We shared classes in Air Force ROTC, and continued to work together at McDonalds. In the Spring she went to work at another store, but also reached out to me. We became closer and closer as friends.

A pivotal moment was the Spring fitness run and weigh in. The Air Force requirements were that I only weigh 205 pounds, the weight I carried as an 18 year old. I would have to use my skills a wrestler to cut weight. I also had to do a timed run, but I was extremely fit for a big guy. Felicia hated running. At the end she made it, but it was a struggle. I waited for her then helped and comforted her. The guy she was dating ignored her. We were on a trajectory to being a couple. It took til the end of the summer, but it happened. It was a little bit thanks to a sexy co-worker, Lana, who wanted to date me too. In the end, I chose Felicia although Lana was pretty exciting. Felicia and I have been together ever since. We moved in together in February 1984 and married in July of 1985. As a married guy I worked very hard becoming a manager at McDonalds. I worked my way all the way up to First Assistant manager. I was taking a full load of classes too along with 50-60 hours of work a week. It would be the hardest I’ve ever worked or ever will work.

The Moment makes the Man

This was the moment I resolved to fix my shit. No more poor grades or dropping classes! I spent the entire summer learning all the stuff I had failed to learn as an undergrad. I returned to school and just killed it. I had a banner year and finished my Master’s degree. I got a research project for my PhD from NASA. At the same time my new confidence started to undermine my relationship with my advisor. I finally snapped. I could not work with him any longer. As it turns out I had the qualifications needed for a job by this point. In early 1989 a bunch of programs were hungry for people like me. I had a Masters degree in Nuclear Engineering, was a USA citizen and had a pulse. I had six job interviews and six job offers. I took the best job available, Los Alamos National Lab. My crisis a year earlier set me on a path for one of the best things that ever happened to me.

Next time, the years in Los Alamos get the treatment.

No One Knows What’s Going to Happen

28 Monday Oct 2024

Posted by Bill Rider in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

donald-trump, fascism, history, politics, trump

“You’re overthinking it.’ ‘I have anxiety. I have no other type of thinking available.” ― Matt Haig, The Midnight Library

tl;dr

The anxiety is sky-high everywhere you look. The uncertainty is huge and palpable. The upcoming election feels like a doom or a massive relief. This is true no matter who you support. In the meantime, everything seems perpetually frozen. We are all waiting to see what kind of World will greet us in 2025. Will we have hope, or enter into an apocalyptic hellscape? The likely outcome will be something in-between no matter who wins.

“Maturity, one discovers, has everything to do with the acceptance of ‘not knowing.” ― Mark Z. Danielewski, House of Leaves

What I see?

The Nation seems like it is in a purgatory. It matters little who you support to feel this way. Both sides are running on fear of the other. The stakes of the election seem impossibly high and this is paralyzing everyone. All decisions and actions stemming from our governance have ground to a halt. I see it at work where nothing is happening. Everything seems to be frozen in place, waiting for the resolution. That resolution could be swift on November 5th, and that would be kind and merciful. That resolution could take all the way into December and even to January 6th. This would be brutal and the freeze would only deepen.

“Our anxiety does not empty tomorrow of its sorrows, but only empties today of its strengths.” ― C. H. Spurgeon

On the one hand, the society we know is being described in terms of doom and horror. For some people this feels true, and they crave change. It seems to me that they simply want to elect a destroyer who will sweep aside the reality that isn’t working for them. They care little about the nature of the destruction. The system we have today is not working for them. This is not entirely true of course. Others (Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, …) see a system that stands in the way of their greed and domination. In Trump, they see their savior, or their ally, or their dupe, and the path toward annihilation of society’s order. I see the problems too, but want someone to fix them.

On the other side, we have normalcy. Ironically this normalcy is the problem and the strength. Part of the normal is the multiple factions comprising the Democratic party. There are many entrenched interests. We have the people who want progress and acceptance socially for women and LBGTQ people. The biggest block of people is the educated and succeeding part of America. These people are generally okay and doing alright in the current system. They see tearing the current system apart as dangerous. They don’t like the system and often see imperfections, but don’t want to destroy it. They would get on board to fix it. The key is that many people benefit from the current system.

“The only thing that makes life possible is permanent, intolerable uncertainty: not knowing what comes next.” ― Ursula K. Le Guin, The Left Hand of Darkness

What is the reality?

Somewhere between the nihilism of the Trump faction and the normies is truth. Our system is a fucking mess. We have profoundly great inequality in society. We see those losing, the poor and blue-collar folks and the ultra-rich teaming up to take on the educated and reasonably well-off. Social and work life is incredibly uncomfortable. This is due to political, social, and sexual dynamics that are a powderkeg. We all walk around on eggshells almost everywhere. The homeless population is exploding. They are the sign that many are falling off the edge of society. We are not taking care of our citizens and throwing them to the wolves. The government over-regulates and is incredibly inefficient. Everything is getting worse and nothing is getting fixed (systems, roads, etc,…). From where I sit I can see multiple National security programs floundering under the weight of all of this.

At the forefront of our woes as a society are young men. Current society is not working for them. I see it in the young men I know personally and at work. Many of them are flocking toward Trump. His fake masculinity and toughness appeal to them. He puts on an MMA/WWE version of masculinity that is cartoonish. The problem for the Democrats is a lack of response. Tim Walz is part of the reaction. He represents a better more modern form of masculinity, but his impact is dimming. The whole thing has taken gender politics to new dysfunctional highs. Women are under siege from the right, and the type of men they promote is truly toxic. The problem is that the Democrats do not offer something in return. They support movements that seemingly oppose men. This may cost them the election.

“Be the change that you wish to see in the world.” ― Mahatma Gandhi

What I fear?

So you reader might be wondering that with all the problems I see why would I support the normie point-of-view. I really don’t. The issue is the Trump-MAGA won’t fix any problems. They only destroy and only work to make our problems worse. Trump will surely make the inequality worse and do nothing for the common man. He will give them “red meat” in attacking their enemies and doing various cruel things. At the same time, he will enable people like Elon Musk to get even richer. They will continue to exist in a world that 99.99% of Americans can’t fathom. Trump won’t make political corruption leave. He will weaponize it for himself and shift the corruption to help him. Putting a criminal and corrupt man in charge will only supercharge the problem.

“I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.” ― Frank Herbert

My real fear is that none of our problems as a Nation will be addressed for many more years. All the problems will just get worse while Americans continue to be divided into warring tribes. I fear bigotry and hatred will be legitimized and supercharged. Progress for women and LBGTQ people will be erased. The American evangelical movement will rule like an American Taliban imposing their morality on everyone. Homeless people will grow and be criminalized rather than helped. Regulation will be destroyed and greed will be pursued absent any morality or ethics. Those with money can escape law, morality, and justice with even greater ease. If you support Trump you are not necessarily a bigot, but you are okay with being ruled by one.

The worst thing I can imagine is myself dying with an epitaph: “born into a democracy; died under a dictator.” America will be swept aside and cast into the dustbin. Worse yet, we could descend into war or simply be auctioned off. If the level of incompetence is allowed to continue unabated our Nation cannot survive. We will fall into incompetence and corruption fueled purely by greed and malice.

Were it the malice of a foreign invaded, it wouldn’t hurt so much. This is the worst case, but little doubt that Trump 2.0 would be a giant shit show. Trump 1.0 was a shit show, but at least some adults with actual ethics were there to limit it. The adults are all gone now.

“An abnormal reaction to an abnormal situation is normal behavior.” ― Victor Frankl

How to Cope?

The thing to remember most of all is that none of us can control what is going to happen. This is the result of forces and events beyond any of our control We are taking part, but only in the smallest way. We are for the most part observers. We will react to the events and our lives will be shaped by them. The shape of the future will be drawn by what is about to occur. This is a big deal. Not knowing what this future holds is the source of the anxiety.

I think the first thing to put your arms around is that things will be bad no matter what. It is a matter of degree. History in the long run is on the side of all of this shit working out. The USA has survived many horrible events and eras. We have continued to exist and even thrive through it all. We will most likely muddle our way through this disaster. In a sense, this is the answer of tragic optimism. Nonetheless, this is a moment of peril for the USA not experienced since the Civil War. Even the fascist threat of World War two didn’t feature this level of threat. Now the fascist threat is inside our Nation. About half the voters seem okay with being led by that fascist.

“Forces beyond your control can take away everything you possess except one thing, your freedom to choose how you will respond to the situation.” ― Victor Frankl

Nonetheless, we should probably be OK, eventually. We’ve been alright before and weathered storms. The biggest question in that statement is how much blood will be shed to get us there. Can we navigate this crisis without killing a lot of our fellow citizens? Can we break the fever and start solving our very real problems in a rational, constructive way? The alternative is a rampant destruction of our institutions and governance followed by a reconstruction. At best, this will be a near-death experience. It will be a truly shitty way to exist.

Americans are fond of saying they hate the government. The thing is that our government is us, and not some separate entity. The lesson is that we hate ourselves. The choice is ours, but I’m not confident we have wisdom. It would be far better to rectify problems and create a government we can love and be proud of. A government that reflects the best of our people and our legacy. In about a week, the future will begin to show itself.

“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe.” ― Albert Einstein

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